Hartberg welcome league leaders Sturm Graz in difficult circumstances, sitting sixth with a patchy run of one win in their last five. Their home record offers limited reassurance, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and a clean sheet rate of just 20%, suggesting they remain vulnerable at this level. Sturm, meanwhile, have been remarkably composed on the road, going unbeaten in their last five away fixtures and keeping clean sheets in 43% of those outings — well above what you would typically expect in this division.

The head-to-head record reinforces the gap between these sides, with Hartberg failing to win in any of the last three meetings. Sturm's away defensive solidity is the standout data point here, conceding just 1.1 per game on their travels while averaging over two scored.

This looks more one-sided than a mid-table home fixture might suggest, and the visitors appear undervalued heading into Sunday.