Austria Vienna vs WSG Tirol — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Austrian Bundesliga·Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 13.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Austria Vienna

51%

top pick

Draw

25%

WSG Tirol

24%

result

Final score

0–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave a WSG Tirol win 24.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Austria Vienna win. Expected goals 1.65–1.13 against 0–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals53%1 scored
Both teams score56%no
Austria Vienna clean sheet33%no
WSG Tirol clean sheet18%yes
Austria Vienna score 2+50%no
WSG Tirol score 2+31%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.4184
1X2 Brier score0.8986
Probability on the result24.1%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 2–1 (10.8%), 1–0 (10.4%). It finished 0–1.

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Austria Vienna

13 SeptHvs Austria Lustenau2–1W
2 AugAvs Wolfsberger AC0–3L
9 AugHvs LASK0–2L
16 AugAvs Hartberg2–0W
30 AugAvs Salzburg1–4L

WSG Tirol

1 AugHvs Sturm Graz1–1D
7 AugAvs SCR Altach1–3L
16 AugHvs Salzburg0–3L
28 AugAvs A. Lustenau4–0W
2 SeptAvs Austria Vienna1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatAustria Vienna
(Home · 3 matches)
WSG Tirol
(Away · 4 matches)
BTTS rate33.3%25.0%
Over 2.5 rate33.3%75.0%
Clean sheet0.0%50.0%
Avg goals2.003.00

Home stats use Austria Vienna's home record; away stats use WSG Tirol's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.