Austria Vienna head into this mid-table Bundesliga clash in poor form, winning just once in their last five and sitting fifth despite home advantage. Their defensive record at home is a concern, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in only a fifth of home matches. Hartberg arrive quietly confident, picking up their first away win of the recent run last time out and boasting a clean sheet rate of 50% on the road this season, well above what Austria Vienna have managed at home.

The head-to-head record adds another layer of intrigue, with Hartberg taking two of the last three meetings. Defensively, the visitors look solid away from home, with their away BTTS rate sitting notably below the league average and goals generally harder to come by in their away games. This looks tighter than a home fifth versus away sixth matchup might suggest, and Hartberg appear undervalued heading in.