Belgium approach this group-stage tie as clear favourites against New Zealand, with the model's strength ratings placing them comfortably ahead. The gap between the sides suggests Belgium should control large periods of play and create the clearer opportunities, though New Zealand will have chances to frustrate and potentially capitalize on transitions if they stay compact defensively.

The model leans decisively toward Belgium, reflecting their superior depth and technical quality. New Zealand's path to a result likely depends on defensive discipline and capitalizing on set pieces or rare openings. Belgium's advantage in this matchup appears substantial enough to expect them to dictate tempo and territory throughout.