Iran enter as clear favourites against New Zealand, with the model rating them as comfortably the stronger side in this group-stage encounter. The gap in quality suggests Iran should control large periods of play and create the better opportunities. New Zealand will need to be exceptionally disciplined and clinical on the counter to trouble a side that the data backs convincingly.

The model's read points to Iran dictating the rhythm and structure of the match. New Zealand's best path likely involves compact defending and looking to exploit rare breaks, though the strength differential makes this an uphill task. Iran's superiority should translate into a dominant display if they perform to their capabilities.