France enter as clear favourites against Iraq, with the model's strength ratings showing a comfortable gap in their favour. The French squad's depth and experience at this level give them a significant structural advantage, and the data points to them controlling possession and creating the clearer opportunities throughout.

Iraq will need to be tactically disciplined and clinical on the counter to trouble France meaningfully. Given the strength differential, France should dominate territory and tempo, though Iraq's defensive organisation could keep the scoreline respectable if they stay compact and limit careless errors in transition.