Vaduz vs Grasshoppers — Swiss Super League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 6.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
FC Vaduz
43%
pick · result
Draw
25%
Grasshopper Zürich
31%
Final score
5–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a FC Vaduz win 43.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a FC Vaduz win. Expected goals 1.71–1.42 against 5–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (7.6%). It finished 5–2.
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Vaduz
| 26 Jul | A | vs Lugano | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | H | vs St. Gallen | 2–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Sion | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Young Boys | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Grasshoppers | 5–2 | W |
Grasshoppers
| 25 Jul | A | vs Lausanne | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Lugano | 1–4 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Servette | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Vaduz | 2–5 | L |
| 2 Sept | H | vs St. Gallen | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Vaduz (Home · 4 matches) | Grasshoppers (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.75 | 3.80 |
Home stats use Vaduz's home record; away stats use Grasshoppers's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.