St. Gallen sit second and host league leaders Thun in what shapes up as a pivotal late-season clash. The home side have recovered well after a mid-run stumble, winning three of their last five, while Thun arrive in poor away form having lost four of their last five on the road. That travel record is a significant red flag for the visitors despite their league-leading position.

Goals look likely here. Thun's away matches produce BTTS in 67% of games with an O2.5 rate of 78%, both above the league average, and St. Gallen's home games sit at 72% O2.5 themselves. Neither side keeps many clean sheets away from home, and the attacking outputs on both sides are consistent. Expect an open game.

The H2H offers no clear edge across three evenly split meetings, but Thun's alarming away form makes this look tighter than their league position alone would suggest. St. Gallen are undervalued here.