Sion head into this fixture in excellent home form, winning four of their last five, but the head-to-head record tells a different story — Thun have won all three recent meetings, and the league leaders arrive with serious away firepower. Thun's away matches have produced goals at a striking rate, with over 2.5 goals in 81% of their road games compared to a league average of 67%, and BTTS landing in 69% of those fixtures.

The contrast in styles here is stark. Sion at home have been defensively solid, keeping clean sheets in nearly half their home games with a low average of 0.7 conceded, while Thun have consistently unlocked defences on the road, averaging over two goals per away game. Something has to give.

Despite Sion's strong recent run, the H2H dominance, Thun's top-of-the-table quality, and their potent away record make this look more competitive than a home fixture against fourth place might suggest. The visitors look undervalued here.