Trabzonspor head into this late-season fixture in strong shape, unbeaten in their last five at home and pushing hard for a top-three finish. Their home record carries real attacking weight, averaging close to two goals per game, and their BTTS rate of 67% at home sits well above the Süper Lig average of 54%, suggesting they tend to be involved in open, two-way contests on their own patch.

Goztepe complicate the picture, however. Their away clean sheet rate of 47% is notably high, and a BTTS rate of just 40% on the road points to a side that travels with defensive discipline as a priority. Their over 2.5 rate away from home is also well below the league norm, which makes high-scoring expectations harder to justify.

This looks tighter and more low-scoring than the home side's attacking numbers alone might suggest. Goztepe are quietly undervalued as a side capable of making this uncomfortable for Trabzonspor.