Samsunspor head into this one in inconsistent form, taking just four points from their last five home games, and their attacking output at home has been modest all season. A seventh-place finish is respectable, but the data suggests a side that does more to stay compact than to dominate games, conceding more than they score on average at home.

Besiktas arrive in reasonable shape, winning three of their last five away from home, and their away scoring record is notably stronger than Samsunspor's defensive numbers would suggest is comfortable. The one previous meeting ended level, though the sample is too small to lean on heavily.

Goalscoring trends for both sides point well below the league average, with neither team running high on open, attacking football this season. This looks like a tighter, lower-scoring affair than a typical Süper Lig fixture, and Besiktas as the higher-placed side on better recent form look the more likely to edge it.