Konyaspor head into this one in excellent home form, winning four of their last five, and their defensive record at home has been solid with clean sheets in 40% of games. However, they come up against a Trabzonspor side that has been one of the division's most consistent travellers, winning three of their last five away and averaging nearly two goals per game on the road. The third-placed visitors carry genuine attacking threat, and their away BTTS rate of 67% sits notably above the league average of 55%, suggesting they tend to make matches competitive regardless of venue.

The limited head-to-head data slightly favours Trabzonspor, who took the spoils in the only recent meeting. Form points to a Konyaspor side capable of making this uncomfortable at home, but Trabzonspor's away output and goal involvement data make this look tighter and more open than a mid-table versus top-three fixture might suggest. The visitors look undervalued here.