Kayserispor head into this fixture in desperate form, having lost three of their last five at home and sitting 17th in the Süper Lig. Their home numbers paint a bleak picture — averaging just 0.8 goals scored per game while conceding 1.9, and keeping a clean sheet in only a quarter of home matches. That attacking output sits well below the league average, and with relegation pressure mounting, there is little to suggest a creative breakthrough here.

Konyaspor arrive in significantly better shape, winning three of their last four away from home. Their away BTTS rate of 75% stands notably above the league average of 54%, and they have kept just one clean sheet on the road all season, pointing toward open, eventful encounters when they travel.

The form gap between these sides is stark. Konyaspor look meaningfully undervalued as visitors here, and the data suggests goals are more likely than not, with both teams having a realistic chance of finding the net.