Kasimpasa vs Amedspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Kasimpasa
39%
top pick
Draw
30%
result
Amedspor
31%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 29.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Kasimpasa win. Expected goals 1.41–1.21 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.3%), 0–0 (8.8%), 1–0 (8.7%). It finished 2–2.
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Kasimpasa
| 15 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Corum | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Basaksehir | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Amedspor | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Genclerbirligi | 2–1 | W |
Amedspor
| 16 Aug | H | vs Erzurumspor | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Kocaelispor | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Kasimpasa | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Basaksehir | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Kasimpasa (Home · 5 matches) | Amedspor (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.25 |
Home stats use Kasimpasa's home record; away stats use Amedspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.