Goztepe vs Rizespor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Goztepe
37%
top pick
Draw
27%
result
Rizespor
36%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 27.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Goztepe win. Expected goals 1.47–1.39 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.8%), 1–2 (9.0%), 0–1 (7.6%). It finished 2–2.
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Goztepe
| 17 Aug | A | vs Samsunspor | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Genclerbirligi | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Galatasaray | 2–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Gaziantep | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Alanyaspor | 2–2 | D |
Rizespor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Konyaspor | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Samsunspor | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Gaziantep | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Alanyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Eyupspor | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Goztepe (Home · 4 matches) | Rizespor (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.17 |
Home stats use Goztepe's home record; away stats use Rizespor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.