Galatasaray vs Goztepe — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 2.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Galatasaray
76%
pick · result
Draw
16%
Goztepe
8%
Final score
3–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Galatasaray win 75.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Galatasaray win. Expected goals 2.37–0.80 against 3–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (12.5%), 2–1 (11.4%), 1–0 (10.7%). It finished 3–2.
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Galatasaray
| 14 Aug | H | vs Corum | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Erzurumspor | 4–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Goztepe | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Basaksehir | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Kocaelispor | 1–0 | W |
Goztepe
| 17 Aug | A | vs Samsunspor | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Genclerbirligi | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Galatasaray | 2–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Gaziantep | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Alanyaspor | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Galatasaray (Home · 3 matches) | Goztepe (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.33 | 5.00 |
Home stats use Galatasaray's home record; away stats use Goztepe's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.