Fatih Karagumruk vs Eyupspor, Saturday 18 April

Two sides deep in relegation trouble meet in what amounts to a six-pointer near the foot of the Süper Lig table. Karagumruk sit 18th and have been painfully inconsistent at home, winning just one of their last five while conceding more than they score on average. Eyupspor arrive in wretched away form, winless in their last five on the road and leaking goals at an alarming rate, so neither defence inspires much confidence.

That said, the numbers tell an interesting story. Both sides rank well below the league average for goals and BTTS in their respective home and away fixtures, and the only previous meeting ended goalless. The data suggests this could be a tense, low-scoring affair where neither side is willing to overcommit given the stakes. This match looks tighter and more cagey than a bottom-half clash might typically produce, and a close contest feels the most likely outcome.