Fatih Karagumruk enter this fixture rooted to the bottom of the Süper Lig table and desperately needing points, though their home form has shown some fight with two wins in their last five. Alanyaspor arrive in inconsistent shape, failing to win any of their last five away days, but their road record this season tells an interesting story from a goals perspective.

The data suggests this could be a more open affair than Karagumruk's home numbers imply. Alanyaspor have been involved in BTTS outcomes in 75% of their away matches this season, well above the league average of 54%, and they have kept a clean sheet on the road just once all campaign. Karagumruk's home matches, by contrast, have been notably low-scoring and tight, with BTTS occurring in only 38% of games.

The limited head-to-head history favors Alanyaspor, and despite their poor away form, the visiting side look undervalued here against a struggling home outfit fighting relegation nerves.