Corum vs Eyupspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Corum
56%
pick · result
Draw
26%
Eyupspor
19%
Final score
3–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Corum win 55.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Corum win. Expected goals 1.67–0.96 against 3–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (12.5%), 1–1 (12.2%), 2–1 (11.3%). It finished 3–0.
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Corum
| 14 Aug | A | vs Galatasaray | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Kasimpasa | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 2–6 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Eyupspor | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Samsunspor | 5–1 | W |
Eyupspor
| 16 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Gaziantep | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Corum | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rizespor | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Corum (Home · 4 matches) | Eyupspor (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Corum's home record; away stats use Eyupspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.