Besiktas head into this Istanbul clash sitting fourth, just a point behind third-placed Trabzonspor, making this a genuinely meaningful late-season fixture. Besiktas have been inconsistent at home, alternating wins and losses across their last five, while Trabzonspor arrive in slightly steadier shape with two wins and two draws in their most recent away outings before a defeat last time out.

The goalscoring data is the most compelling element here. Both sides sit well above the Süper Lig average for BTTS and Over 2.5 games, with Besiktas triggering both-teams-to-score in 69% of home fixtures against a league norm of 54%. Trabzonspor away matches tell a similar story, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Clean sheets have been rare for both sides all season.

The lone H2H meeting this season ended level, and with the stakes high and both attacks in decent nick, this looks like a game that will produce goals. The visitors are quietly well-positioned here.