Besiktas vs Corum — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Besiktas
69%
pick · result
Draw
19%
Corum Belediyespor
12%
Final score
6–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Besiktas win 68.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Besiktas win. Expected goals 2.02–0.87 against 6–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (12.6%), 2–1 (12.6%), 2–0 (12.1%). It finished 6–2.
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Besiktas
| 16 Aug | H | vs Eyupspor | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Alanyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Corum | 6–2 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Fenerbahce | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Erzurumspor | 3–0 | W |
Corum
| 14 Aug | A | vs Galatasaray | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Kasimpasa | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 2–6 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Eyupspor | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Samsunspor | 5–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Besiktas (Home · 5 matches) | Corum (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.40 | 4.50 |
Home stats use Besiktas's home record; away stats use Corum's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.