Besiktas vs Basaksehir — Süper Lig forecast, Monday, 26 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Besiktas
70%
Draw
19%
Basaksehir
12%
Expected goals
2.36–0.89
Besiktas · Basaksehir
Besiktas win 70% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–1 (8.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Besiktas score at least twice in 68%; Basaksehir in 22%.
Scoreline distribution
Basaksehir goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 8.8 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Besiktas goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Besiktas | 1.39 |
| Draw | 5.25 |
| Basaksehir | 6.89 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Besiktas
| 16 Aug | H | vs Eyupspor | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Alanyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Corum | 6–2 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Fenerbahce | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Erzurumspor | 3–0 | W |
Basaksehir
| 16 Aug | H | vs Kocaelispor | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Trabzonspor | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Kasimpasa | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Galatasaray | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Amedspor | 0–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Besiktas (Home · 4 matches) | Basaksehir (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.75 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Besiktas's home record; away stats use Basaksehir's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.