Antalyaspor head into this clash in dire shape, winning just one of their last five and sitting in 16th place with relegation pressure mounting. Their home record tells its own story — they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game at home this season, keeping a clean sheet in just 7% of those fixtures. That defensive fragility makes them a difficult team to back, even in front of their own supporters.

Alanyaspor arrive in steadier form, unbeaten in four of their last five, and their away defensive numbers are considerably tighter than Antalyaspor's home attacking output would suggest. The one previous meeting between these sides ended in a draw.

The goals angle is the most compelling part of this fixture. Antalyaspor's home games have seen BTTS land in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80% — both dramatically above the league average of 54% and 51% respectively. This looks like a game where goals are very much on the agenda.