Amedspor vs Trabzonspor — Süper Lig result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Amedspor
29%
result
Draw
26%
Trabzonspor
45%
top pick
Final score
2–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave an Amedspor win 29.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Trabzonspor win. Expected goals 1.22–1.52 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.2%), 1–2 (10.1%), 0–1 (9.8%). It finished 2–1.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Amedspor
| 16 Aug | H | vs Erzurumspor | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Kocaelispor | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Kasimpasa | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Basaksehir | 5–0 | W |
Trabzonspor
| 15 Aug | A | vs Kasimpasa | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Basaksehir | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Amedspor | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Genclerbirligi | 5–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Konyaspor | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Amedspor (Home · 4 matches) | Trabzonspor (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Amedspor's home record; away stats use Trabzonspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.