πΉπ· SΓΌper LigΒ·Monday, 31 August 2026Β·18:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Amedspor | 3.47 | 3.47 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Trabzonspor | 2.03 | 2.03 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketAmedspor
27%
Draw
25%
Trabzonspor
47%
Amedspor 1.20 xGexpected goals1.59 xG Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor win 47% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1β1 (12.1%).
Amedspor score at least twice in 33%; Trabzonspor in 48%.
1β1 12.1%1β2 10.3%0β1 9.7%0β2 8.0%0β0 6.8%2β1 6.5%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 9.7 | 8.0 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.1 | 12.1 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Amedspor goals Β· columns = Trabzonspor goals Β· % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 4.5 goals15%
Amedspor clean sheet20%
Trabzonspor clean sheet30%
Amedspor score 2+33%
Trabzonspor score 2+48%
Amedspor score 3+12%
Model vs market
| Source | Amedspor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 27% | 25% | 47% |
| Metis Forecast | 27% | 25% | 47% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
No recent results.
Trabzonspor
| 11 Aug | H | vs Kocaelispor | 1β0 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | vs Kasimpasa | 1β0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Antalyaspor | 1β0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Samsunspor | 1β1 | D |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Fenerbahce | 0β1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Amedspor (Home) | Trabzonspor (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | β | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | β | 64.7% |
| Clean sheet | β | 23.5% |
| Avg goals | β | 3.12 |
Home stats use Amedspor's home record; away stats use Trabzonspor's away record this season.