Amedspor vs Eyupspor — Süper Lig forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Amedspor
75%
Draw
16%
Eyupspor
9%
Expected goals
2.30–0.77
Amedspor · Eyupspor
Amedspor win 75% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13.0%), 1–0 (11.3%), 2–1 (11.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Amedspor score at least twice in 69%; Eyupspor in 18%.
Scoreline distribution
Eyupspor goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.3 | 7.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 13.0 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 9.2 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Amedspor goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 72% | 21% | 7% |
| Market reference | 75% | 16% | 9% |
| Metis Forecast | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Amedspor | 1.29 |
| Draw | 5.66 |
| Eyupspor | 9.45 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Amedspor
| 16 Aug | H | vs Erzurumspor | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Kocaelispor | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Trabzonspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Kasimpasa | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Basaksehir | 5–0 | W |
Eyupspor
| 16 Aug | A | vs Besiktas | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Gaziantep | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Alanyaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Corum | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rizespor | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Amedspor (Home · 5 matches) | Eyupspor (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.40 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Amedspor's home record; away stats use Eyupspor's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.