Vicenza vs Juve Stabia — Serie B result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Vicenza
46%
top pick
Draw
29%
result
Juve Stabia
24%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 29.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Vicenza win. Expected goals 1.56–1.10 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.0%), 1–0 (9.8%), 2–1 (9.5%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Vicenza
| 21 Aug | H | vs Catanzaro | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Avellino | 0–3 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Virtus Entella | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Juve Stabia | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Verona | 1–2 | L |
Juve Stabia
| 23 Aug | A | vs Palermo | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sampdoria | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Vicenza | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sept | H | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Vicenza (Home · 4 matches) | Juve Stabia (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.17 |
Home stats use Vicenza's home record; away stats use Juve Stabia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.