Modena head into this derby in inconsistent form, taking just one win from their last five, but their home record remains a strength this season — they have kept a clean sheet in 44% of home games and conceded under a goal per game on average. Sitting sixth, there is still something to play for, and home advantage in a local derby should sharpen focus. Reggiana, bottom of the table and with only one win in their last five away from home, arrive in desperate shape. Their away defensive record is poor, conceding 1.7 per game on the road, and a clean sheet looks unlikely given Modena's attacking output at home.

Goalwise, Modena's home matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 67% of games, well above the league average of 49%, which points to an open affair. This looks like a game where Modena hold the significant advantage, and the visitors may be more vulnerable than a derby billing suggests.