Juve Stabia vs Pisa — Serie B result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 5.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Juve Stabia
29%
Draw
32%
Pisa
39%
pick · result
Final score
0–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Pisa win 38.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Pisa win. Expected goals 1.26–1.32 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (15.5%), 0–1 (10.2%), 1–2 (10.0%). It finished 0–3.
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Juve Stabia
| 23 Aug | A | vs Palermo | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Sampdoria | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Pisa | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Vicenza | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sept | H | vs Cesena | 1–1 | D |
Pisa
| 23 Aug | H | vs Padova | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Catanzaro | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Juve Stabia | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Sept | H | vs Virtus Entella | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Mantova | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Juve Stabia (Home · 4 matches) | Pisa (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.25 | 2.80 |
Home stats use Juve Stabia's home record; away stats use Pisa's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.