Empoli head into this Serie B clash in poor form, collecting just two points from their last five games and sitting uncomfortably in 15th. Avellino, five places above them in 10th, arrive with a mixed but slightly more encouraging recent run, winning two of their last five away from home. The head-to-head record is minimal, with Empoli edging the only previous meeting.

The most striking data point here is Empoli's home BTTS rate of 78%, comfortably above the league average of 55%, suggesting their matches at home regularly feature goals at both ends despite a modest average of 1.5 scored. Avellino's away clean sheet rate of just 11% reinforces that they tend to concede on the road, though their own attacking output away from home is modest at 0.9 goals per game.

This looks like a competitive, scrappy affair between two mid-to-lower table sides with little to separate them. Goals for both teams seem likely, even if a high-scoring game is less expected.