🇮🇹 Serie B·Saturday, 29 August 2026·19:00

DWWLW

19:00

8th vs —

Vicenza

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Avellino	2.43	2.43
Draw	2.97	2.97
Vicenza	3.51	3.51

Metis Forecast

model + market

Avellino

40%

Draw

33%

Vicenza

27%

Avellino 1.36 xGexpected goals1.12 xG Vicenza

Avellino win 40% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 53% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (15.5%).

Avellino score at least twice in 39%; Vicenza in 30%.

1–1 15.5%0–0 10.3%1–0 10.0%2–1 8.6%0–1 7.4%2–0 7.4%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	10.3	7.4	4.8	1.9	0.6	0.2
1	10.0	15.5	6.5	2.5	0.7	0.2
2	7.4	8.7	5.6	1.7	0.5	0.1
3	3.3	3.8	2.3	1.0	0.2	0.1
4	1.1	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0
5+	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

rows = Avellino goals · columns = Vicenza goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score53%

Over 1.5 goals72%

Over 2.5 goals45%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Over 4.5 goals11%

Avellino clean sheet32%

Vicenza clean sheet25%

Avellino score 2+39%

Vicenza score 2+30%

Avellino score 3+15%

Model vs market

Source	Avellino	Draw	Vicenza
Raw Metis model	39%	29%	32%
Market (de-vigged)	40%	33%	27%
Metis Forecast	40%	33%	27%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Avellino

24 Aug	A	vs Frosinone	0–2	L
31 Aug	A	vs Modena	1–1	D
12 Sept	H	vs Monza	2–1	W
21 Sept	A	vs Carrarese	4–3	W
27 Sept	H	vs Virtus Entella	2–0	W

No recent results.

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Avellino (Home)	Vicenza (Away)
BTTS rate	52.6%	—
Over 2.5 rate	52.6%	—
Clean sheet	31.6%	—
Avg goals	2.68	—

Home stats use Avellino's home record; away stats use Vicenza's away record this season.

Avellino →🇮🇹 Serie B standings & fixtures