Genoa vs Fiorentina — Serie A forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Serie A·Saturday, 10 October 2026·13:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Genoa | 3.16 |
| Draw | 3.36 |
| Fiorentina | 2.29 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Genoa
| 22 Aug | H | vs Napoli | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Lazio | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Como | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Frosinone | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Parma | 1–2 | L |
Fiorentina
| 24 Aug | A | vs AS Roma | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Frosinone | 0–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Torino | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Venezia | 4–2 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Napoli | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Genoa (Home · 3 matches) | Fiorentina (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 5.00 |
Home stats use Genoa's home record; away stats use Fiorentina's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.