St Mirren head into this one in patchy form, winning two on the bounce before slipping to defeat in their last outing, while Livingston arrive having not won in five away trips. The head-to-head record leans toward the hosts, who have avoided defeat in all three recent meetings, suggesting St Mirren carry a psychological edge on home turf.

The numbers here tell a compelling story. St Mirren at home this season have kept a clean sheet in half their games, with a BTTS rate of just 12% against a league average of 51% — one of the most defensive home records in the division. Livingston away is a different picture, with BTTS at 53% and over 2.5 landing in 59% of their road games, though that largely reflects how often they concede rather than contribute to open affairs.

This looks tighter than a neutral glance at league positions might suggest. Low-scoring and hard to call, the data points toward a narrow home win or draw rather than a free-flowing contest.