St Mirren's home record this season has been remarkably low-scoring. Their BTTS rate of just 12% and over 2.5 rate of 18% are dramatically below the league average of 51% and 52% respectively, with a clean sheet rate of 47% at home telling its own story. They average just 0.6 goals scored per home game, so the attacking output simply has not been there.

Kilmarnock away, however, tell a very different story. Their 65% BTTS and over 2.5 rates on the road suggest they tend to be involved in open, multi-goal affairs, though conceding an average of 2.3 per away game raises serious defensive concerns. The clash of styles is genuinely intriguing.

The head-to-head leans Kilmarnock's way with two wins from three recent meetings, and despite their poor defensive record on the road, this looks tighter than a bottom-half derby might suggest. The visitors appear undervalued given recent H2H dominance.