St Johnstone vs Celtic — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
St Johnstone
15%
Draw
19%
Celtic
66%
pick · result
Final score
0–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Celtic win 65.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Celtic win. Expected goals 0.93–2.24 against 0–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–2 (10.5%), 1–2 (9.4%), 1–1 (9.0%). It finished 0–1.
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St Johnstone
| 2 Aug | H | vs Kilmarnock | 4–3 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs St Mirren | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Hearts | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Dundee | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Hibernian | 2–1 | W |
Celtic
| 3 Aug | H | vs Dundee | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Kilmarnock | 5–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Falkirk | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Sept | H | vs Aberdeen | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs St Mirren | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | St Johnstone (Home · 6 matches) | Celtic (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.17 | 2.83 |
Home stats use St Johnstone's home record; away stats use Celtic's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.