Kilmarnock head into this one in inconsistent form, taking just four points from their last five home outings, while Dundee United arrive in considerably better shape with four wins from their last five away from home. The gap in league position tells a similar story, with the visitors sitting comfortably mid-table while Kilmarnock find themselves scrapping near the bottom.

The goal data is worth noting here. Dundee United's away BTTS rate of 69% sits well above the league average of 51%, and they have kept a clean sheet in just one of their away matches all season. Kilmarnock have conceded an average of 1.6 per home game, which fits the profile of an open fixture. This looks like a game with goals in it.

The head-to-head leans Kilmarnock's way historically, with no defeats in three meetings, but the data suggests Dundee United are the better side right now and may be undervalued here.