๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ Scottish PremiershipยทSaturday, 29 August 2026ยท14:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyHearts
71%
Draw
21%
St Johnstone
7%
Hearts 2.03 xGexpected goals0.75 xG St Johnstone
Hearts win 71% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 47% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2โ0 (12.7%).
Hearts score at least twice in 60%; St Johnstone in 17%.
2โ0 12.7%1โ0 11.8%1โ1 10.2%2โ1 9.6%3โ0 8.6%0โ0 6.9%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 10.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 12.7 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Hearts goals ยท columns = St Johnstone goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score47%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 4.5 goals15%
Hearts clean sheet47%
St Johnstone clean sheet13%
Hearts score 2+60%
St Johnstone score 2+17%
Hearts score 3+33%
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Recent form
Hearts
| 4 Aug | H | vs Aberdeen | 2โ0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Dundee Utd | 3โ2 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Motherwell | 3โ3 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Livingston | 2โ1 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Rangers | 2โ0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Hearts (Home) | St Johnstone (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 42.1% | โ |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.4% | โ |
| Clean sheet | 57.9% | โ |
| Avg goals | 2.53 | โ |
Home stats use Hearts's home record; away stats use St Johnstone's away record this season.