Falkirk head into this one in inconsistent form, alternating between wins and defeats across their last five, though they carry a reasonable threat at home, averaging 1.6 goals per game and conceding 1.5. Their home BTTS rate of 68% is well above the league average of 51%, which tells you matches at their ground tend to be open affairs. Rangers arrive in similarly patchy away form with three wins from their last five on the road, though their defensive numbers hold up better, keeping clean sheets in a third of away fixtures.

The head-to-head history leans Rangers, who are unbeaten in the last three meetings with two draws and a win. Despite Rangers sitting third and carrying the stronger defensive structure, their away form offers Falkirk genuine hope. Goals look likely here given both sides post elevated BTTS and Over 2.5 rates above the league norm. This looks a closer contest than the standings imply, with the visitors only marginally the stronger side.