Dundee vs St Johnstone — Scottish Premiership result and pre-match forecast, Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 15.7 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Dundee
36%
Draw
27%
result
St Johnstone
37%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 26.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a St Johnstone win. Expected goals 1.40–1.33 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–2 (9.2%), 0–1 (8.8%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Dundee
| 3 Aug | A | vs Celtic | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Aberdeen | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Dundee Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Hibernian | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sept | H | vs St Johnstone | 1–1 | D |
St Johnstone
| 2 Aug | H | vs Kilmarnock | 4–3 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | vs St Mirren | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Hearts | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Dundee | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Hibernian | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Dundee (Home · 4 matches) | St Johnstone (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Dundee's home record; away stats use St Johnstone's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.