Celtic arrive into this Old Firm clash having recovered well after an early stumble, winning four of their last five at home. Rangers, however, have lost two of their last three away from Ibrox, and their recent momentum looks fragile heading into a must-win fixture for both sides with the title picture still in play.

The head-to-head data is the most striking element here. Celtic have failed to win any of the last three meetings, picking up just two draws and a defeat, which suggests Rangers carry genuine threat despite their lower league standing. That pattern makes this look considerably tighter than a home-advantage narrative would imply.

On goals, Celtic's home BTTS rate of 47% sits below the league average of 51%, and their defensive record at home has been excellent. Rangers away bring more attacking intent but also more exposure. The data points toward a tense, low-scoring affair where the visitors are somewhat undervalued.