Celtic host Hearts at Celtic Park in what is effectively a title showdown, with the visitors arriving top of the Premiership and carrying a remarkable recent H2H record — Hearts are unbeaten in all three meetings this season, winning two of them. That head-to-head pattern is impossible to ignore and suggests Celtic have found this particular opponent a genuinely difficult puzzle to solve, even on home soil.

Celtic arrive in perfect home form with five straight wins, but Hearts have been equally composed on the road, losing none of their last five away fixtures. Hearts' away defensive record is solid, and Celtic's home clean sheet rate of 50% indicates they are not impenetrable either. Both sides sit at 50% BTTS in the relevant venues, right around the league average, so a tight, controlled contest feels more likely than an open affair.

This looks considerably tighter than a home favourite narrative would suggest. Hearts are undervalued going into this one.