Maritimo vs Nacional — Primeira Liga forecast, Friday, 27 November 2026
Primeira Liga·Friday, 27 November 2026·20:15
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Maritimo | 2.20 |
| Draw | 3.31 |
| Nacional | 3.44 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 15 Nov · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Maritimo
| 8 Aug | H | vs Casa Pia | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Famalicao | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Academico Viseu | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Arouca | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Benfica | 0–3 | L |
Nacional
| 10 Aug | A | vs Santa Clara | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Estoril | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Estrela Amadora | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Sporting | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Maritimo (Home · 5 matches) | Nacional (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 2.60 |
Home stats use Maritimo's home record; away stats use Nacional's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.