Nottm Forest vs Tottenham — Premier League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 5 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Nottm Forest
40%
top pick
Draw
28%
result
Tottenham
32%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 28.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Nottm Forest win. Expected goals 1.42–1.16 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.5%), 0–1 (8.9%), 0–0 (8.7%). It finished 0–0 — one of them.
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Nottm Forest
| 22 Aug | H | vs Leeds | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Liverpool | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Tottenham | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Aston Villa | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Coventry | 0–1 | L |
Tottenham
| 22 Aug | A | vs Brentford | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Newcastle | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Nottm Forest | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Everton | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Aston Villa | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Nottm Forest (Home · 3 matches) | Tottenham (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 0.67 | 1.50 |
Home stats use Nottm Forest's home record; away stats use Tottenham's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.