Liverpool vs Man City — Premier League forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Premier League·Sunday, 11 October 2026·15:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2.59 |
| Draw | 3.72 |
| Man City | 2.53 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Fantasy impact · GW6
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Liverpool
| 23 Aug | A | vs Newcastle | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Nottm Forest | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Ipswich | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Fulham | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Bournemouth | 1–0 | W |
Man City
| 23 Aug | H | vs Bournemouth | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Crystal Palace | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Coventry | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Man Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Sunderland | 5–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Liverpool (Home · 2 matches) | Man City (Away · 2 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Liverpool's home record; away stats use Man City's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.