Everton vs Chelsea — Premier League forecast, Saturday, 17 October 2026
Premier League·Saturday, 17 October 2026·11:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Everton | 2.73 |
| Draw | 3.79 |
| Chelsea | 2.38 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 04 Oct · 04:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Everton
| 22 Aug | H | vs Crystal Palace | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Bournemouth | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Man Utd | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Tottenham | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | H | vs Ipswich | 1–0 | W |
Chelsea
| 24 Aug | A | vs Fulham | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Brighton | 4–3 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Arsenal | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Hull | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sept | A | vs Brentford | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Everton (Home · 3 matches) | Chelsea (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 66.7% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 3.67 |
Home stats use Everton's home record; away stats use Chelsea's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.