๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier LeagueยทSaturday, 29 August 2026ยท14:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyBournemouth
42%
Draw
29%
Everton
30%
Bournemouth 1.40 xGexpected goals1.13 xG Everton
Bournemouth win 42% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (13.6%).
Bournemouth score at least twice in 41%; Everton in 31%.
1โ1 13.6%1โ0 10.1%0โ0 9.0%2โ1 8.8%0โ1 8.0%2โ0 7.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 13.6 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Bournemouth goals ยท columns = Everton goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score52%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Bournemouth clean sheet32%
Everton clean sheet25%
Bournemouth score 2+41%
Everton score 2+31%
Bournemouth score 3+17%
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Recent form
Bournemouth
| 15 Aug | A | vs Liverpool | 2โ4 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Wolves | 1โ0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Tottenham | 1โ0 | W |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Brighton | 2โ1 | W |
| 21 Sept | H | vs Newcastle | 0โ0 | D |
Everton
| 18 Aug | A | vs Leeds | 0โ1 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Brighton | 2โ0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Wolves | 3โ2 | W |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Aston Villa | 0โ0 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Liverpool | 1โ2 | L |
Head to head
| 10 Feb 26 | EvertonvsBournemouth | 1 โ 2 |
| 2 Dec 25 | BournemouthvsEverton | 0 โ 1 |
Bournemouth: 1W 0D 1L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Bournemouth (Home) | Everton (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 63.2% | 47.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 47.4% | 36.8% |
| Clean sheet | 31.6% | 26.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.58 | 2.32 |
Home stats use Bournemouth's home record; away stats use Everton's away record this season.