KFUM Oslo vs Ham-Kam — Eliteserien forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
KFUM Oslo
48%
Draw
28%
Ham-Kam
24%
Expected goals
1.83–1.29
KFUM Oslo · Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo win 48% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.8%), 2–1 (9.4%), 2–2 (7.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely KFUM Oslo win is 2–1 (9.4%).
KFUM Oslo score at least twice in 55%; Ham-Kam in 37%.
Scoreline distribution
Ham-Kam goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 12.8 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.4 | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: KFUM Oslo goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market reference | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Metis Forecast | 48% | 28% | 24% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| KFUM Oslo | 2.01 |
| Draw | 3.38 |
| Ham-Kam | 3.90 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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KFUM Oslo
| 15 Mar | H | vs Start | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Fredrikstad | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 0–4 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | KFUM Oslo (Home · 12 matches) | Ham-Kam (Away · no matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 41.7% | — |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.42 | — |
Home stats use KFUM Oslo's home record; away stats use Ham-Kam's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.