Toronto FC come into this in decent nick, picking up three wins and two draws from their last five at home, though their defensive record raises eyebrows — they have kept a clean sheet in none of their home games this season, with both teams scoring in every single one of those fixtures. That BTTS rate of 100% dwarfs the league average of 56% and strongly suggests goals will flow at both ends regardless of the result.

Philadelphia arrive in wretched away form, losing four of their last five on the road, and their defensive frailty away from home is well-documented — conceding an average of 1.8 per game with no clean sheets recorded. Their own BTTS rate of 75% away from home further reinforces the likelihood of an open game.

With no head-to-head history to lean on, the form lines tell a clear story. Toronto look the stronger side on current evidence, but this has the makings of a messy, end-to-end contest. The visitors are badly undervalued if you believe they can turn their away form around.