Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 6.60 | 6.60 |
| Draw | 5.28 | 5.28 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 1.43 | 1.43 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketSporting Kansas City
14%
Draw
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps
68%
Vancouver Whitecaps win 68% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (11.3%).
Sporting Kansas City score at least twice in 26%; Vancouver Whitecaps in 67%.
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 8.9 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 | 2.9 | 8.2 | 11.3 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 2 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| 3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Sporting Kansas City goals · columns = Vancouver Whitecaps goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Model vs market
| Source | Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| Metis Forecast | 14% | 18% | 68% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Sporting Kansas City
| 22 Feb | A | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Columbus Crew | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs San Diego FC | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Colorado Rapids | 1–4 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps
| 22 Feb | H | vs Real Salt Lake | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Toronto FC | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Portland Timbers | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Minnesota United | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Apr 26 | Vancouver WhitecapsvsSporting Kansas City | 3 – 0 |
Sporting Kansas City: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Sporting Kansas City (Home) | Vancouver Whitecaps (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 44.4% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 22.2% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Sporting Kansas City's home record; away stats use Vancouver Whitecaps's away record this season.