Sporting Kansas City vs Vancouver Whitecaps — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.8 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Sporting Kansas City
14%
Draw
18%
Vancouver Whitecaps
68%
pick · result
Final score
0–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Vancouver Whitecaps win 68.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Vancouver Whitecaps win. Expected goals 0.96–2.27 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (10.6%), 0–2 (10.6%), 0–1 (8.9%). It finished 0–3.
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Sporting Kansas City
| 22 Feb | A | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Columbus Crew | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Mar | H | vs San Diego FC | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | A | vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Colorado Rapids | 1–4 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps
| 22 Feb | H | vs Real Salt Lake | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Toronto FC | 3–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Portland Timbers | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Minnesota United | 6–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | H | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sporting Kansas City (Home · 13 matches) | Vancouver Whitecaps (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 76.9% | 58.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 69.2% | 58.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.38 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Sporting Kansas City's home record; away stats use Vancouver Whitecaps's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.