San Jose arrive at Lumen Field as the form team in the division, sitting top of MLS and unbeaten in their last five with four straight wins. That kind of momentum is hard to ignore. Seattle have also been solid at home, dropping just two points in their last five there, but it is the Earthquakes who carry the greater threat heading into this one.

Both sides contribute to high-scoring games by league standards. Seattle's home BTTS and Over 2.5 rates both sit at 67%, comfortably above the league average, and San Jose have matched that BTTS figure on the road. Goals look likely here, and the data suggests this fixture has the ingredients for an open, attacking contest.

Despite Seattle's home advantage and a positive H2H record, the gap in current form is hard to overlook. San Jose look undervalued as visitors, and this game probably deserves more respect than a straightforward home win narrative would suggest.