Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 16.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Seattle Sounders
51%
top pick
Draw
24%
result
New York Red Bulls
25%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 23.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Seattle Sounders win. Expected goals 1.95–1.34 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.7%), 2–0 (7.1%). It finished 0–0.
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Seattle Sounders
| 23 Feb | H | vs Colorado Rapids | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Real Salt Lake | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Mar | A | vs St. Louis City | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | A | vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Minnesota United | 0–0 | D |
New York Red Bulls
| 22 Feb | A | vs Orlando City | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | H | vs New England Revolution | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs CF Montreal | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Mar | A | vs Toronto FC | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Charlotte | 1–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Seattle Sounders (Home · 14 matches) | New York Red Bulls (Away · 14 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 64.3% | 64.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.1% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 21.4% | 21.4% |
| Avg goals | 3.07 | 2.93 |
Home stats use Seattle Sounders's home record; away stats use New York Red Bulls's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.